The Future As Seen By Me In 2010

Well looky here, things one has scanned in eh. (ignore the photo, that's some guy that made some accounting software, not sure what became of him ;) MIKE RIVERSDALE is fuming. The expensive headphones he bought in Sydney three weeks ago have just died. His first reaction is not to randomly spill expletives into his coffee, but to use his iPhone to vent his frustration to his Twitter con- tacts, under the moniker Miramar Mike. "I will also put, 'What should I do?' It's a conversation. I'm reaching out to the people following me." The council predicts hand-held digital devices such as smartphones will rule the world in 2040. They already rule the life of Mr Riversdale, whose company WaveAdept helps businesses adapt - their computing sys- tems to allow staff to work from anywhere - and with anyone. In order of fre- equency, he uses his iPhone to tweet (1136 followers; 8363 tweets since joining), e-mail, make phone calls and use online services, such as checki

I Love The Chinese Room

This is a great analogy of how generative AIs operate on top of Large Language Models (LLM), they are definitely not intelligent, artificial or not.

'Untitled' by Hayley Welsh (2019), mural in Whanganui
You're stuck in a room with a letterbox in one wall. Opposite is another letterbox with two lights, red and green, both unlit.

After a while two pieces of paper come through the first letterbox, each with a Mandarin character on them.

You stare at the papers, but don't speak Mandarin. After a while you think, "I'll post one through the other postbox, why not".

You do so, and the green light comes on and goes back off. Cool you think.

Another set of two pieces come through the first letterbox. You post the same Mandarin character through, green light. Nice.

The next time with the next two pieces of paper your chosen post receives a red light. Ok, won't do that character again.

Over time the pieces of paper come through in threes, fours, and then many. You also notice patterns, eg one character after another always gets a green light.

In the room reviewing the papers you've posted through the people pushing the buttons to turn the lights on grow to believe you can now speak Mandarin fluently.

You still can't.


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